Things that make you say Hmmmm?

The study in question-

http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/phcommon/public/media/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2328

“Los Angeles (April 20, 2020) – USC and the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (Public Health) today released preliminary results from a collaborative scientific study that suggests infections from the new coronavirus are far more widespread – and the fatality rate much lower – in L.A. County than previously thought.

The results are from the first round of an ongoing study by USC researchers and Public Health officials. They will be conducting antibody testing over time on a series of representative samples of adults to determine the scope and spread of the pandemic across the county.

Based on results of the first round of testing, the research team estimates that approximately 4.1% of the county’s adult population has antibody to the virus. Adjusting this estimate for statistical margin of error implies about 2.8% to 5.6% of the county’s adult population has antibody to the virus- which translates to approximately 221,000 to 442,000 adults in the county who have had the infection. That estimate is 28 to 55 times higher than the 7,994 confirmed cases of COVID-19 reported to the county by the time of the study in early April. The number of COVID-related deaths in the county has now surpassed 600.

Okay, so unpacking a few numbers-

If the estimate in the study says that 221,000-442,000 have antibodies in just one California county. And the national total number of confirmed cases is 801,038 as of 7:00 pm –

https://covidtracking.com/data

What does that tell us? Well for starters it tells me that one hell of a lot more people have already had the virus and suffered no ill effects from it.

Also, in the video the one guys says “well we’ve all been vaccinated anyway” vaccinated for what and by whom?

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4 Responses to Things that make you say Hmmmm?

    • Darin says:

      Yep, it found the memory hole quick. Maybe it was a joke, but it sure was an odd exchange.

  1. Victor says:

    Pay attention to theses press briefings – are they wearing masks?

  2. mawm says:

    That study has a number of problems. The major one being that those who got tested self-selected. People were asked to volunteer. This means that people who were worried about having had the disease or those who had been in contact with people who had had the disease lined up to get a “free” antibody test. They will not get the same result with proper random testing.

    This disease has too many unknowns ….and too many poorly designed studies that are being breathlessly reported by a press keen to dramatise it.